Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.001595 0.001659 0.001724 0.001797 0.001875 0.001958 0.002052
2025-07-20 0.001486 0.001576 0.001673 0.001785 0.001912 0.002052 0.002221
2025-07-27 0.001419 0.001528 0.001649 0.001794 0.001965 0.002162 0.002413
2025-08-03 0.001354 0.001475 0.001612 0.001781 0.001986 0.002233 0.002560
2025-08-10 0.001315 0.001448 0.001601 0.001794 0.002036 0.002338 0.002758
2025-08-17 0.001271 0.001411 0.001574 0.001784 0.002055 0.002403 0.002907
2025-08-24 0.001229 0.001372 0.001543 0.001766 0.002059 0.002447 0.003029
2025-08-31 0.001215 0.001368 0.001552 0.001799 0.002131 0.002585 0.003302
2025-09-07 0.001192 0.001350 0.001543 0.001805 0.002167 0.002676 0.003516
2025-09-14 0.001160 0.001319 0.001517 0.001787 0.002167 0.002713 0.003646
2025-09-21 0.001127 0.001287 0.001486 0.001761 0.002153 0.002728 0.003740
2025-09-28 0.001102 0.001263 0.001465 0.001748 0.002156 0.002768 0.003881
2025-10-05 0.001059 0.001215 0.001413 0.001690 0.002092 0.002701 0.003823
2025-10-12 0.001039 0.001197 0.001398 0.001684 0.002105 0.002755 0.004003
2025-10-19 0.001026 0.001188 0.001395 0.001694 0.002141 0.002852 0.004282
2025-10-26 0.001007 0.001169 0.001379 0.001683 0.002145 0.002894 0.004455
2025-11-02 0.000997 0.001163 0.001378 0.001695 0.002185 0.003001 0.004793
2025-11-09 0.000980 0.001146 0.001364 0.001686 0.002191 0.003050 0.005010
2025-11-16 0.000962 0.001127 0.001345 0.001670 0.002184 0.003073 0.005168
2025-11-23 0.000960 0.001130 0.001357 0.001699 0.002253 0.003244 0.005760
2025-11-30 0.000950 0.001123 0.001353 0.001706 0.002284 0.003346 0.006199
2025-12-07 0.000934 0.001105 0.001335 0.001689 0.002275 0.003367 0.006404
2025-12-14 0.000916 0.001085 0.001314 0.001666 0.002253 0.003359 0.006515